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Seven allocation models (MV, Black–Litterman, ERC, HRP…) with shrinkage and vol targeting on 13 ETFs. None beats equal weight on Sharpe after multiple-testing correction.
OU-based pair selection on LatAm ADRs lifts Sharpe from ≈0 to 0.81; an earnings gate takes it to ~1.05. The news-sentiment overlay fails, and the repo shows why.