Agentic Organization Research Project - Jiang Lens is an independent research and reading project built from Jiang Xueqin's lectures, interviews, and writing.
Work and code associated with looking at some work by Turchin et al
A partial reproduction in Python of the 2024 paper (The Demographic-Wealth model for cliodynamics) by Wittmann and Kuehn.
A curated list of awesome resources for cliodynamcs.
Macro-historical and cliodynamic simulation engine modeling human population dynamics, thermodynamic constraints, and resource distribution on an H3 discrete global grid.
Eight historical cycle theories overlaid on one shared time axis (1600-2050), each paired with real long-run data. A comparison tool - not prophecy.
Research lab notebook and code for synthetic anthropology experiments using LLMs: structured cross-cultural dialogues, prompt protocols, evaluation rubrics, and logs/analysis for reproducible experiments. Conceptually grounded in Turchin & Nefedov's Secular Cycles, and extended with human–AI interactions.
The quantitative science of how civilizations maintain coherence, accumulate stress, approach phase transitions, and reorganize — with attention to information architecture. A falsifiable, pre-registered, open research program extending cliodynamics.
Tainter's collapse mechanisms tested on 1,472 region-centuries of Seshat data. They carry no detectable independent signal. Complexity level alone predicts crisis severity, and survives every attack on it.
Equality under the law as a formal property: modelling the structural conditions for equal treatment in legal and governance systems.
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